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culture· KXBOND-30

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

Before 2030

$3.0M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970Live

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

35 markets

Callum Turner

kalshi · open

$690.0K vol

Yes71.0%

Buy Yes 71.0%

No30.0%

Buy No 30.0%

Jack Lowden

kalshi · open

$264.1K vol

Yes22.0%

Buy Yes 22.0%

No82.0%

Buy No 82.0%

Josh O'Connor

kalshi · open

$188.3K vol

Yes11.0%

Buy Yes 11.0%

No90.0%

Buy No 90.0%

Jack Barton

kalshi · open

$66.9K vol

Yes11.0%

Buy Yes 11.0%

No90.0%

Buy No 90.0%

Jacob Elordi

kalshi · open

$352.9K vol

Yes7.00%

Buy Yes 7.00%

No94.0%

Buy No 94.0%

Tom Francis

kalshi · open

$63.5K vol

Yes6.00%

Buy Yes 6.00%

No97.0%

Buy No 97.0%

Robert Pattinson

kalshi · open

$37.8K vol

Yes6.00%

Buy Yes 6.00%

No95.0%

Buy No 95.0%

Tom Blyth

kalshi · open

$16.4K vol

Yes6.00%

Buy Yes 6.00%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

kalshi · open

$294.2K vol

Yes5.00%

Buy Yes 5.00%

No96.0%

Buy No 96.0%

Harris Dickinson

kalshi · open

$130.6K vol

Yes5.00%

Buy Yes 5.00%

No96.0%

Buy No 96.0%

Henry Cavill

kalshi · open

$124.7K vol

Yes5.00%

Buy Yes 5.00%

No96.0%

Buy No 96.0%

Theo James

kalshi · open

$101.0K vol

Yes5.00%

Buy Yes 5.00%

No96.0%

Buy No 96.0%

Jack O'Connell

kalshi · open

$47.2K vol

Yes5.00%

Buy Yes 5.00%

No96.0%

Buy No 96.0%

Regé-Jean Page

kalshi · open

$32.9K vol

Yes4.00%

Buy Yes 4.00%

No97.0%

Buy No 97.0%

Charlie Hunnam

kalshi · open

$21.8K vol

Yes4.00%

Buy Yes 4.00%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Tom Holland

kalshi · open

$87.6K vol

Yes3.00%

Buy Yes 3.00%

No98.0%

Buy No 98.0%

Damson Idris

kalshi · open

$60.9K vol

Yes3.00%

Buy Yes 3.00%

No98.0%

Buy No 98.0%

Aaron Pierre

kalshi · open

$50.0K vol

Yes3.00%

Buy Yes 3.00%

No98.0%

Buy No 98.0%

James Norton

kalshi · open

$44.1K vol

Yes3.00%

Buy Yes 3.00%

No98.0%

Buy No 98.0%

Nicholas Hoult

kalshi · open

$33.0K vol

Yes3.00%

Buy Yes 3.00%

No98.0%

Buy No 98.0%

Tom Hardy

kalshi · open

$24.3K vol

Yes3.00%

Buy Yes 3.00%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Paul Mescal

kalshi · open

$17.8K vol

Yes3.00%

Buy Yes 3.00%

No98.0%

Buy No 98.0%

Henry Ashton

kalshi · open

$12.4K vol

Yes3.00%

Buy Yes 3.00%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

David Gyasi

kalshi · open

$2.0K vol

Yes3.00%

Buy Yes 3.00%

No98.0%

Buy No 98.0%

Idris Elba

kalshi · open

$79.2K vol

Yes2.00%

Buy Yes 2.00%

No99.0%

Buy No 99.0%

Richard Madden

kalshi · open

$39.2K vol

Yes2.00%

Buy Yes 2.00%

No99.0%

Buy No 99.0%

Cillian Murphy

kalshi · open

$30.8K vol

Yes2.00%

Buy Yes 2.00%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Jonathan Bailey

kalshi · open

$26.6K vol

Yes2.00%

Buy Yes 2.00%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Scott Rose-Marsh

kalshi · open

$17.5K vol

Yes2.00%

Buy Yes 2.00%

No99.0%

Buy No 99.0%

George MacKay

kalshi · open

$17.2K vol

Yes2.00%

Buy Yes 2.00%

No99.0%

Buy No 99.0%

Joe Alwyn

kalshi · open

$7.0K vol

Yes2.00%

Buy Yes 2.00%

No99.0%

Buy No 99.0%

Nicholas Galitzine

kalshi · open

$3.4K vol

Yes2.00%

Buy Yes 2.00%

No99.0%

Buy No 99.0%

Luke Evans

kalshi · open

$20 vol

Yes1.00%

Buy Yes 1.00%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Edgar Wright

kalshi · closed

$0 vol

Yes0.00%

Buy Yes 0.00%

No0.00%

Buy No 0.00%

Edward Berger

kalshi · closed

$0 vol

Yes0.00%

Buy Yes 0.00%

No0.00%

Buy No 0.00%

Timeline

Opened: Sep 2, 2025
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

If Callum Turner is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules