Christopher Luxon
kalshi · open
Yes46.0%
Buy Yes 46.0%
No57.0%
Buy No 57.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
politics· KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
Before Jan 1, 2027
$9.6M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970Live
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$17.2K vol
Pedro Sánchez
kalshi · open
Yes20.0%
Buy Yes 20.0%
No82.0%
Buy No 82.0%
Sébastien Lecornu
kalshi · open
Yes18.0%
Buy Yes 18.0%
No86.0%
Buy No 86.0%
Benjamin Netanyahu
kalshi · open
Yes17.0%
Buy Yes 17.0%
No84.0%
Buy No 84.0%
Miguel Díaz-Canel
kalshi · open
Yes14.0%
Buy Yes 14.0%
No88.0%
Buy No 88.0%
Edi Rama
kalshi · open
Yes14.0%
Buy Yes 14.0%
No90.0%
Buy No 90.0%
Mohammed bin Salman
kalshi · open
Yes8.40%
Buy Yes 8.40%
No91.7%
Buy No 91.7%
Delcy Rodriguez
kalshi · open
Yes8.00%
Buy Yes 8.00%
No93.7%
Buy No 93.7%
Rodrigo Paz Pereira
kalshi · open
Yes8.00%
Buy Yes 8.00%
No96.6%
Buy No 96.6%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
kalshi · open
Yes7.80%
Buy Yes 7.80%
No92.3%
Buy No 92.3%
Ahmad al-Sharaa
kalshi · open
Yes6.70%
Buy Yes 6.70%
No97.7%
Buy No 97.7%
Friedrich Merz
kalshi · open
Yes6.60%
Buy Yes 6.60%
No96.4%
Buy No 96.4%
Emmanuel Macron
kalshi · open
Yes6.40%
Buy Yes 6.40%
No94.9%
Buy No 94.9%
Mette Frederiksen
kalshi · open
Yes6.30%
Buy Yes 6.30%
No94.9%
Buy No 94.9%
Kim Jong Un
kalshi · open
Yes5.90%
Buy Yes 5.90%
No96.0%
Buy No 96.0%
Narendra Modi
kalshi · open
Yes5.90%
Buy Yes 5.90%
No97.8%
Buy No 97.8%
Denis Sassou Nguesso
kalshi · open
Yes5.90%
Buy Yes 5.90%
No96.7%
Buy No 96.7%
Cyril Ramaphosa
kalshi · open
Yes5.50%
Buy Yes 5.50%
No98.8%
Buy No 98.8%
Félix Tshisekedi
kalshi · open
Yes5.50%
Buy Yes 5.50%
No97.2%
Buy No 97.2%
Jens-Frederik Nielsen
kalshi · open
Yes5.10%
Buy Yes 5.10%
No98.5%
Buy No 98.5%
Lee Jae Myung
kalshi · open
Yes4.90%
Buy Yes 4.90%
No97.9%
Buy No 97.9%
Giorgia Meloni
kalshi · open
Yes4.90%
Buy Yes 4.90%
No97.7%
Buy No 97.7%
Javier Milei
kalshi · open
Yes4.70%
Buy Yes 4.70%
No97.5%
Buy No 97.5%
Daniel Noboa
kalshi · open
Yes4.70%
Buy Yes 4.70%
No98.9%
Buy No 98.9%
Vladimir Putin
kalshi · open
Yes4.10%
Buy Yes 4.10%
No96.6%
Buy No 96.6%
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
kalshi · open
Yes4.00%
Buy Yes 4.00%
No97.0%
Buy No 97.0%
Sanae Takaichi
kalshi · open
Yes3.90%
Buy Yes 3.90%
No97.2%
Buy No 97.2%
Mark Carney
kalshi · open
Yes3.90%
Buy Yes 3.90%
No98.2%
Buy No 98.2%
Irfaan Ali
kalshi · open
Yes3.90%
Buy Yes 3.90%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%
Ramzan Kadyrov
kalshi · open
Yes3.00%
Buy Yes 3.00%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%
Claudia Sheinbaum
kalshi · open
Yes2.90%
Buy Yes 2.90%
No97.7%
Buy No 97.7%
Frederik X
kalshi · open
Yes2.90%
Buy Yes 2.90%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%
Nayib Bukele
kalshi · open
Yes2.80%
Buy Yes 2.80%
No98.6%
Buy No 98.6%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
kalshi · open
Yes2.20%
Buy Yes 2.20%
No98.6%
Buy No 98.6%
Xi Jinping
kalshi · open
Yes2.00%
Buy Yes 2.00%
No98.6%
Buy No 98.6%
Ali Khamenei
kalshi · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Keir Starmer
kalshi · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Nicolás Maduro
kalshi · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Gustavo Petro
kalshi · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Viktor Orbán
kalshi · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
José Jerí
kalshi · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Aleksandar Vučić
kalshi · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Timeline
- Opened
- Dec 1, 2025
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
If Christopher Luxon has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of New Zealand or has actually left Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules