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politics· KXPRESNOMD-28

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

In 2028

$257.2M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970Live

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

53 markets

Gavin Newsom

kalshi · open

$11.7M vol

Yes17.0%

Buy Yes 17.0%

No84.0%

Buy No 84.0%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

kalshi · open

$10.0M vol

Yes14.0%

Buy Yes 14.0%

No87.0%

Buy No 87.0%

Jon Ossoff

kalshi · open

$9.6M vol

Yes14.0%

Buy Yes 14.0%

No87.0%

Buy No 87.0%

Kamala Harris

kalshi · open

$8.9M vol

Yes6.40%

Buy Yes 6.40%

No93.7%

Buy No 93.7%

Josh Shapiro

kalshi · open

$6.6M vol

Yes4.80%

Buy Yes 4.80%

No95.5%

Buy No 95.5%

Andy Beshear

kalshi · open

$7.1M vol

Yes4.70%

Buy Yes 4.70%

No95.8%

Buy No 95.8%

Pete Buttigieg

kalshi · open

$6.7M vol

Yes4.60%

Buy Yes 4.60%

No95.5%

Buy No 95.5%

James Talarico

kalshi · open

$9.1M vol

Yes4.10%

Buy Yes 4.10%

No96.2%

Buy No 96.2%

Mark Kelly

kalshi · open

$8.5M vol

Yes3.10%

Buy Yes 3.10%

No97.1%

Buy No 97.1%

Rahm Emanuel

kalshi · open

$7.9M vol

Yes2.80%

Buy Yes 2.80%

No97.7%

Buy No 97.7%

Raphael Warnock

kalshi · open

$6.1M vol

Yes2.80%

Buy Yes 2.80%

No97.3%

Buy No 97.3%

J.B. Pritzker

kalshi · open

$6.7M vol

Yes2.70%

Buy Yes 2.70%

No97.4%

Buy No 97.4%

Wes Moore

kalshi · open

$5.4M vol

Yes2.30%

Buy Yes 2.30%

No97.8%

Buy No 97.8%

Abdul El-Sayed

kalshi · open

$6.3M vol

Yes2.00%

Buy Yes 2.00%

No98.1%

Buy No 98.1%

Michelle Obama

kalshi · open

$7.7M vol

Yes1.60%

Buy Yes 1.60%

No98.5%

Buy No 98.5%

Ro Khanna

kalshi · open

$7.1M vol

Yes1.50%

Buy Yes 1.50%

No98.6%

Buy No 98.6%

Adam Hamilton

kalshi · open

$769.9K vol

Yes1.10%

Buy Yes 1.10%

No99.0%

Buy No 99.0%

Roy Cooper

kalshi · open

$4.2M vol

Yes0.90%

Buy Yes 0.90%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

Mark Cuban

kalshi · open

$6.1M vol

Yes0.70%

Buy Yes 0.70%

No99.4%

Buy No 99.4%

Gretchen Whitmer

kalshi · open

$5.4M vol

Yes0.70%

Buy Yes 0.70%

No99.4%

Buy No 99.4%

Cory Booker

kalshi · open

$4.3M vol

Yes0.70%

Buy Yes 0.70%

No99.4%

Buy No 99.4%

Ruben Gallego

kalshi · open

$4.0M vol

Yes0.60%

Buy Yes 0.60%

No99.5%

Buy No 99.5%

David Jolly

kalshi · open

$423.7K vol

Yes0.60%

Buy Yes 0.60%

No99.5%

Buy No 99.5%

Stephen A. Smith

kalshi · open

$7.2M vol

Yes0.50%

Buy Yes 0.50%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

Bernie Sanders

kalshi · open

$5.5M vol

Yes0.50%

Buy Yes 0.50%

No99.6%

Buy No 99.6%

Chris Murphy

kalshi · open

$4.2M vol

Yes0.50%

Buy Yes 0.50%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

Elissa Slotkin

kalshi · open

$3.7M vol

Yes0.50%

Buy Yes 0.50%

No99.6%

Buy No 99.6%

Chris Van Hollen

kalshi · open

$404.5K vol

Yes0.50%

Buy Yes 0.50%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

Jon Stewart

kalshi · open

$5.5M vol

Yes0.40%

Buy Yes 0.40%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

Hunter Biden

kalshi · open

$8.4M vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Barack Obama

kalshi · open

$6.5M vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Andrew Yang

kalshi · open

$5.6M vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Jamie Dimon

kalshi · open

$3.6M vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Hakeem Jeffries

kalshi · open

$55.4K vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Zohran Mamdani

kalshi · open

$10.0M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

John Fetterman

kalshi · open

$5.2M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Amy Klobuchar

kalshi · open

$3.6M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Tim Walz

kalshi · open

$3.5M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Dwayne Johnson

kalshi · open

$3.1M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Jared Polis

kalshi · open

$2.9M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Jasmine Crockett

kalshi · open

$2.4M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Beto O'Rourke

kalshi · open

$2.3M vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Sherrod Brown

kalshi · open

$4.2K vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Mary Peltola

kalshi · open

$2.3K vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Graham Platner

kalshi · open

$4.3M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Liz Cheney

kalshi · open

$4.1M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Hillary Clinton

kalshi · open

$3.8M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

LeBron James

kalshi · open

$3.2M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Phil Murphy

kalshi · open

$2.8M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Gina Raimondo

kalshi · open

$2.7M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Elizabeth Warren

kalshi · open

$2.1M vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Mitch Landrieu

kalshi · open

$124.7K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Shawn Fain

kalshi · open

$64.1K vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Timeline

Opened: Nov 6, 2024
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

If Gavin Newsom wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules