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politics· KXPRESPERSON-28

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

In 2028

$79.6M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970Live

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

35 markets

J.D. Vance

kalshi · open

$4.7M vol

Yes20.0%

Buy Yes 20.0%

No81.0%

Buy No 81.0%

Gavin Newsom

kalshi · open

$5.0M vol

Yes16.0%

Buy Yes 16.0%

No85.0%

Buy No 85.0%

Marco Rubio

kalshi · open

$6.0M vol

Yes12.0%

Buy Yes 12.0%

No89.0%

Buy No 89.0%

Jon Ossoff

kalshi · open

$5.0M vol

Yes12.0%

Buy Yes 12.0%

No89.0%

Buy No 89.0%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

kalshi · open

$4.7M vol

Yes9.10%

Buy Yes 9.10%

No91.0%

Buy No 91.0%

James Talarico

kalshi · open

$2.8M vol

Yes3.90%

Buy Yes 3.90%

No96.5%

Buy No 96.5%

Kamala Harris

kalshi · open

$3.2M vol

Yes3.30%

Buy Yes 3.30%

No96.9%

Buy No 96.9%

Andy Beshear

kalshi · open

$2.5M vol

Yes3.00%

Buy Yes 3.00%

No97.6%

Buy No 97.6%

Pete Buttigieg

kalshi · open

$2.7M vol

Yes2.80%

Buy Yes 2.80%

No97.4%

Buy No 97.4%

Mark Kelly

kalshi · open

$2.7M vol

Yes2.70%

Buy Yes 2.70%

No98.0%

Buy No 98.0%

Donald J. Trump

kalshi · open

$4.1M vol

Yes2.60%

Buy Yes 2.60%

No97.5%

Buy No 97.5%

Ron DeSantis

kalshi · open

$2.7M vol

Yes2.60%

Buy Yes 2.60%

No97.5%

Buy No 97.5%

Josh Shapiro

kalshi · open

$2.3M vol

Yes2.60%

Buy Yes 2.60%

No97.6%

Buy No 97.6%

J.B. Pritzker

kalshi · open

$3.3M vol

Yes2.30%

Buy Yes 2.30%

No97.8%

Buy No 97.8%

Rahm Emanuel

kalshi · open

$2.2M vol

Yes1.90%

Buy Yes 1.90%

No98.2%

Buy No 98.2%

Cory Booker

kalshi · open

$104 vol

Yes1.60%

Buy Yes 1.60%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Wes Moore

kalshi · open

$2.5M vol

Yes1.40%

Buy Yes 1.40%

No98.7%

Buy No 98.7%

Gretchen Whitmer

kalshi · open

$2.5M vol

Yes0.90%

Buy Yes 0.90%

No99.4%

Buy No 99.4%

Tucker Carlson

kalshi · open

$3.0M vol

Yes0.80%

Buy Yes 0.80%

No99.4%

Buy No 99.4%

Donald J. Trump Jr.

kalshi · open

$3.0M vol

Yes0.80%

Buy Yes 0.80%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

Tulsi Gabbard

kalshi · open

$2.3M vol

Yes0.80%

Buy Yes 0.80%

No99.4%

Buy No 99.4%

Glenn Youngkin

kalshi · open

$1.5M vol

Yes0.80%

Buy Yes 0.80%

No99.3%

Buy No 99.3%

Brian Kemp

kalshi · open

$89.8K vol

Yes0.80%

Buy Yes 0.80%

No99.6%

Buy No 99.6%

Thomas Massie

kalshi · open

$1.2M vol

Yes0.70%

Buy Yes 0.70%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

Ro Khanna

kalshi · open

$743.9K vol

Yes0.70%

Buy Yes 0.70%

No99.6%

Buy No 99.6%

Ted Cruz

kalshi · open

$91.7K vol

Yes0.70%

Buy Yes 0.70%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Jamie Dimon

kalshi · open

$1.5M vol

Yes0.60%

Buy Yes 0.60%

No99.5%

Buy No 99.5%

Nikki Haley

kalshi · open

$984.2K vol

Yes0.50%

Buy Yes 0.50%

No99.6%

Buy No 99.6%

Hunter Biden

kalshi · open

$861.6K vol

Yes0.50%

Buy Yes 0.50%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Stephen A. Smith

kalshi · open

$2.5M vol

Yes0.40%

Buy Yes 0.40%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Roy Cooper

kalshi · open

$6.0K vol

Yes0.40%

Buy Yes 0.40%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Vivek Ramaswamy

kalshi · open

$2.0M vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Greg Abbott

kalshi · open

$427.7K vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Tim Walz

kalshi · open

$689.1K vol

Yes0.20%

Buy Yes 0.20%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Doug Burgum

kalshi · open

$100 vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Timeline

Opened: May 10, 2025
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

If J.D. Vance is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules