Before 2027
kalshi · open
Yes3.30%
Buy Yes 3.30%
No96.9%
Buy No 96.9%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
politics· KXTARIFFCHECKS-26
Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
Before 2027
$5.2M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970Live
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$1.6M vol
Before 2026
kalshi · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Before August
kalshi · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Before July
kalshi · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Before May
kalshi · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Before March
kalshi · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Before February
kalshi · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Before April
kalshi · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Before June
kalshi · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Timeline
- Opened
- Dec 11, 2025
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
If at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1,000 directly attributable to tariff revenue is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Full rules