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Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity

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tech· OAIAGI

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

AGI

$1.1M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970Live

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

5 markets

Before 2030

kalshi · open

$209.9K vol

Yes70.8%

Buy Yes 70.8%

No34.4%

Buy No 34.4%

Before 2028

kalshi · open

$301.7K vol

Yes46.5%

Buy Yes 46.5%

No55.9%

Buy No 55.9%

Before 2027

kalshi · open

$373.8K vol

Yes6.20%

Buy Yes 6.20%

No96.4%

Buy No 96.4%

Before 2026

kalshi · closed

$210.5K vol

Yes0.00%

Buy Yes 0.00%

No0.00%

Buy No 0.00%

Before 2025

kalshi · closed

$49.4K vol

Yes0.00%

Buy Yes 0.00%

No0.00%

Buy No 0.00%

Timeline

Opened: Apr 4, 2024
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Full rules