No Next Chancellor before 2028
polymarket · open
Yes67.0%
Buy Yes 67.0%
No34.0%
Buy No 34.0%
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Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
politics· POLY-1030146
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
$137.9K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$111.3K vol
Hendrik Wüst
polymarket · open
Yes14.0%
Buy Yes 14.0%
No87.0%
Buy No 87.0%
Markus Söder
polymarket · open
Yes11.1%
Buy Yes 11.1%
No89.7%
Buy No 89.7%
Boris Pistorius
polymarket · open
Yes5.90%
Buy Yes 5.90%
No98.2%
Buy No 98.2%
Alice Weidel
polymarket · open
Yes5.20%
Buy Yes 5.20%
No98.4%
Buy No 98.4%
Lars Klingbeil
polymarket · open
Yes1.60%
Buy Yes 1.60%
No99.5%
Buy No 99.5%
Carsten Linnemann
polymarket · open
Yes1.10%
Buy Yes 1.10%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%
Felix Banaszak
polymarket · open
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%
Heidi Reichinnek
polymarket · open
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%
Sahra Wagenknecht
polymarket · open
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%
Katharina Dröge
polymarket · open
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%
Tino Chrupalla
polymarket · open
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%
Jens Spahn
polymarket · open
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%
Timeline
- Opened
- Sep 15, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025. This market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.