Yes
polymarket · open
Yes99.5%
Buy Yes 99.5%
No2.40%
Buy No 2.40%
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity

Current implied probabilities and volume.
polymarket · open
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Apple.