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tech· POLY-1040599

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

$46.2K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

21 markets

Google

polymarket · open

$12.6K vol
Yes44.0%
Buy Yes 44.0%
No63.0%
Buy No 63.0%

Anthropic

polymarket · open

$11.6K vol
Yes42.2%
Buy Yes 42.2%
No59.0%
Buy No 59.0%

OpenAI

polymarket · open

$3.8K vol
Yes24.6%
Buy Yes 24.6%
No95.7%
Buy No 95.7%

Meta

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol
Yes13.2%
Buy Yes 13.2%
No99.4%
Buy No 99.4%

Alibaba

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol
Yes2.00%
Buy Yes 2.00%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

Nvidia

polymarket · open

$1.4K vol
Yes1.90%
Buy Yes 1.90%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

Meituan

polymarket · open

$2.8K vol
Yes1.20%
Buy Yes 1.20%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%

SpaceXAI

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Z.ai

polymarket · open

$969 vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Baidu

polymarket · open

$1.2K vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Tencent

polymarket · open

$886 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Moonshot

polymarket · open

$1.0K vol
Yes0.80%
Buy Yes 0.80%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

DeepSeek

polymarket · open

$830 vol
Yes0.80%
Buy Yes 0.80%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Xiaomi

polymarket · open

$829 vol
Yes0.50%
Buy Yes 0.50%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Thinky

polymarket · open

$828 vol
Yes0.50%
Buy Yes 0.50%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

ByteDance

polymarket · open

$1.0K vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Mistral

polymarket · open

$679 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Microsoft

polymarket · open

$639 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Amazon

polymarket · open

$577 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

MiniMax

polymarket · open

$519 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

StepFun

polymarket · open

$519 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Timeline

Opened
Sep 18, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November? | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck