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politicselection· POLY-1069368

Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner

$12.7K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

11 markets

Gintautas Kindurys

polymarket · open

$3.9K vol
Yes49.0%
Buy Yes 49.0%
No58.0%
Buy No 58.0%

Vladislav Kondratovič

polymarket · open

$1.5K vol
Yes23.0%
Buy Yes 23.0%
No89.0%
Buy No 89.0%

Mėta Palauskaitė

polymarket · open

$516 vol
Yes13.7%
Buy Yes 13.7%
No96.3%
Buy No 96.3%

Giedrius Dainys

polymarket · open

$612 vol
Yes12.2%
Buy Yes 12.2%
No91.1%
Buy No 91.1%

Antanas Šakalis

polymarket · open

$1.0K vol
Yes11.0%
Buy Yes 11.0%
No93.4%
Buy No 93.4%

Dalia Štraupaitė

polymarket · open

$925 vol
Yes10.0%
Buy Yes 10.0%
No95.0%
Buy No 95.0%

Nikolajus Lebedevičius

polymarket · open

$729 vol
Yes6.90%
Buy Yes 6.90%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

Maksimas Paukštė

polymarket · open

$347 vol
Yes6.70%
Buy Yes 6.70%
No99.3%
Buy No 99.3%

Viktor Voronin

polymarket · open

$324 vol
Yes4.80%
Buy Yes 4.80%
No98.9%
Buy No 98.9%

Ignotas Adomavičius

polymarket · open

$2.3K vol
Yes2.20%
Buy Yes 2.20%
No98.0%
Buy No 98.0%

Andrej Šildiajėv

polymarket · open

$430 vol
Yes1.90%
Buy Yes 1.90%
No99.2%
Buy No 99.2%

Timeline

Opened
Sep 23, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency. If no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).

Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck