November 30, 2026
polymarket · open
Yes90.0%
Buy Yes 90.0%
No12.0%
Buy No 12.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
tech· POLY-1099873
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
$60.9K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$11.8K vol
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
polymarket · open
Yes81.0%
Buy Yes 81.0%
No25.0%
Buy No 25.0%
Chopsticks catch Starship?
polymarket · open
Yes68.0%
Buy Yes 68.0%
No55.0%
Buy No 55.0%
Successful splash down?
polymarket · open
Yes46.0%
Buy Yes 46.0%
No85.0%
Buy No 85.0%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
polymarket · open
Yes19.0%
Buy Yes 19.0%
No83.0%
Buy No 83.0%
November 15, 2026
polymarket · open
Yes12.0%
Buy Yes 12.0%
No89.0%
Buy No 89.0%
October 31, 2026
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Timeline
- Opened
- Sep 28, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
If the 15th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.