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tech· POLY-1111223

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November?

$8.1K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

21 markets

Anthropic

polymarket · open

$2.8K vol
Yes82.0%
Buy Yes 82.0%
No36.0%
Buy No 36.0%

Meta

polymarket · open

$283 vol
Yes19.8%
Buy Yes 19.8%
No98.9%
Buy No 98.9%

MiniMax

polymarket · open

$262 vol
Yes18.8%
Buy Yes 18.8%
No98.9%
Buy No 98.9%

Alibaba

polymarket · open

$252 vol
Yes16.9%
Buy Yes 16.9%
No98.7%
Buy No 98.7%

OpenAI

polymarket · open

$449 vol
Yes15.5%
Buy Yes 15.5%
No89.8%
Buy No 89.8%

Moonshot

polymarket · open

$235 vol
Yes15.0%
Buy Yes 15.0%
No98.9%
Buy No 98.9%

Nvidia

polymarket · open

$234 vol
Yes10.2%
Buy Yes 10.2%
No98.9%
Buy No 98.9%

Google

polymarket · open

$707 vol
Yes8.00%
Buy Yes 8.00%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

SpaceXAI

polymarket · open

$251 vol
Yes5.00%
Buy Yes 5.00%
No99.4%
Buy No 99.4%

Microsoft

polymarket · open

$265 vol
Yes4.00%
Buy Yes 4.00%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%

DeepSeek

polymarket · open

$263 vol
Yes4.00%
Buy Yes 4.00%
No99.5%
Buy No 99.5%

Tencent

polymarket · open

$243 vol
Yes1.90%
Buy Yes 1.90%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

Z.ai

polymarket · open

$235 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

Amazon

polymarket · open

$229 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

Mistral

polymarket · open

$220 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

Thinky

polymarket · open

$229 vol
Yes0.80%
Buy Yes 0.80%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Xiaomi

polymarket · open

$195 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

ByteDance

polymarket · open

$195 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

StepFun

polymarket · open

$195 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Meituan

polymarket · open

$178 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Baidu

polymarket · open

$154 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Timeline

Opened
Oct 1, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on November 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November? | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck