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tech· POLY-1111225

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?

$37.5K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

22 markets

Other

polymarket · open

$6.0K vol
Yes99.2%
Buy Yes 99.2%
No1.00%
Buy No 1.00%

OpenAI

polymarket · open

$6.0K vol
Yes1.30%
Buy Yes 1.30%
No99.5%
Buy No 99.5%

Anthropic

polymarket · open

$9.4K vol
Yes0.30%
Buy Yes 0.30%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Amazon

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Meta

polymarket · open

$952 vol
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

ByteDance

polymarket · open

$891 vol
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Google

polymarket · open

$3.9K vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Meituan

polymarket · open

$898 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Nvidia

polymarket · open

$727 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Alibaba

polymarket · open

$700 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Thinky

polymarket · open

$681 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Microsoft

polymarket · open

$666 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Tencent

polymarket · open

$645 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Z.ai

polymarket · open

$636 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

DeepSeek

polymarket · open

$603 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Moonshot

polymarket · open

$584 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

SpaceXAI

polymarket · open

$554 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Mistral

polymarket · open

$540 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Baidu

polymarket · open

$534 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Xiaomi

polymarket · open

$489 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

StepFun

polymarket · open

$465 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

MiniMax

polymarket · open

$463 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Timeline

Opened
Oct 29, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on November 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November? | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck