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Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity

tech· POLY-1113953

Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

$32.1K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

21 markets

Google

polymarket · open

$5.3K vol
Yes55.0%
Buy Yes 55.0%
No49.0%
Buy No 49.0%

Anthropic

polymarket · open

$17.0K vol
Yes36.0%
Buy Yes 36.0%
No65.0%
Buy No 65.0%

Meta

polymarket · open

$866 vol
Yes13.4%
Buy Yes 13.4%
No97.8%
Buy No 97.8%

MiniMax

polymarket · open

$700 vol
Yes7.20%
Buy Yes 7.20%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%

SpaceXAI

polymarket · open

$993 vol
Yes2.70%
Buy Yes 2.70%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

StepFun

polymarket · open

$332 vol
Yes2.70%
Buy Yes 2.70%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Microsoft

polymarket · open

$824 vol
Yes2.30%
Buy Yes 2.30%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

Alibaba

polymarket · open

$608 vol
Yes1.70%
Buy Yes 1.70%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

Moonshot

polymarket · open

$431 vol
Yes1.30%
Buy Yes 1.30%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

Xiaomi

polymarket · open

$459 vol
Yes1.20%
Buy Yes 1.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Z.ai

polymarket · open

$467 vol
Yes1.10%
Buy Yes 1.10%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Baidu

polymarket · open

$435 vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

ByteDance

polymarket · open

$493 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

Meituan

polymarket · open

$439 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Tencent

polymarket · open

$437 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Mistral

polymarket · open

$387 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Nvidia

polymarket · open

$390 vol
Yes0.80%
Buy Yes 0.80%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

OpenAI

polymarket · open

$491 vol
Yes0.70%
Buy Yes 0.70%
No99.4%
Buy No 99.4%

Thinky

polymarket · open

$386 vol
Yes0.70%
Buy Yes 0.70%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Amazon

polymarket · open

$374 vol
Yes0.60%
Buy Yes 0.60%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

DeepSeek

polymarket · open

$347 vol
Yes0.60%
Buy Yes 0.60%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Timeline

Opened
Oct 1, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On) | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck