$403K - $407K
polymarket · open
Yes43.0%
Buy Yes 43.0%
No58.0%
Buy No 58.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
economics· POLY-1116430
What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?
$54.2K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$15.6K vol
$407K - $411K
polymarket · open
Yes36.0%
Buy Yes 36.0%
No66.0%
Buy No 66.0%
<$403K
polymarket · open
Yes24.1%
Buy Yes 24.1%
No88.3%
Buy No 88.3%
$415K - $419K
polymarket · open
Yes9.40%
Buy Yes 9.40%
No97.9%
Buy No 97.9%
$411K - $415K
polymarket · open
Yes1.50%
Buy Yes 1.50%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%
$419K - $423K
polymarket · open
Yes0.60%
Buy Yes 0.60%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%
$423K+
polymarket · open
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%
Timeline
- Opened
- Oct 1, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/57)