<$1.062M
polymarket · open
Yes75.8%
Buy Yes 75.8%
No25.3%
Buy No 25.3%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
economics· POLY-1116434
What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on December 31?
$41.3K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$20.3K vol
$1.062M - $1.083M
polymarket · open
Yes19.4%
Buy Yes 19.4%
No82.3%
Buy No 82.3%
$1.083M - $1.104M
polymarket · open
Yes4.50%
Buy Yes 4.50%
No99.3%
Buy No 99.3%
$1.125M - $1.146M
polymarket · open
Yes2.80%
Buy Yes 2.80%
No99.1%
Buy No 99.1%
$1.146M - $1.165M
polymarket · open
Yes2.70%
Buy Yes 2.70%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%
$1.104M - $1.125M
polymarket · open
Yes2.50%
Buy Yes 2.50%
No99.3%
Buy No 99.3%
$1.165M+
polymarket · open
Yes2.10%
Buy Yes 2.10%
No98.0%
Buy No 98.0%
Timeline
- Opened
- Oct 1, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/60)