4.75%
polymarket · open
Yes62.8%
Buy Yes 62.8%
No45.3%
Buy No 45.3%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
economics· POLY-1116514
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$37.1K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$1.8K vol
4.80%
polymarket · open
Yes61.0%
Buy Yes 61.0%
No46.0%
Buy No 46.0%
4.85%
polymarket · open
Yes53.0%
Buy Yes 53.0%
No52.0%
Buy No 52.0%
4.90%
polymarket · open
Yes34.0%
Buy Yes 34.0%
No72.0%
Buy No 72.0%
5.00%
polymarket · open
Yes29.0%
Buy Yes 29.0%
No91.0%
Buy No 91.0%
5.10%
polymarket · open
Yes24.0%
Buy Yes 24.0%
No91.0%
Buy No 91.0%
5.20%
polymarket · open
Yes7.00%
Buy Yes 7.00%
No95.0%
Buy No 95.0%
5.65%
polymarket · open
Yes6.90%
Buy Yes 6.90%
No98.9%
Buy No 98.9%
5.50%
polymarket · open
Yes5.70%
Buy Yes 5.70%
No97.3%
Buy No 97.3%
5.40%
polymarket · open
Yes5.10%
Buy Yes 5.10%
No98.3%
Buy No 98.3%
5.30%
polymarket · open
Yes3.60%
Buy Yes 3.60%
No98.7%
Buy No 98.7%
Timeline
- Opened
- Oct 23, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date from market creation to December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the final business day of 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the final business day of 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "2 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).