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politicselection· POLY-1119742

El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place

$18.8K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

11 markets

Vamos

polymarket · open

$2.3K vol
Yes66.0%
Buy Yes 66.0%
No79.0%
Buy No 79.0%

PCN

polymarket · open

$4.7K vol
Yes39.0%
Buy Yes 39.0%
No84.0%
Buy No 84.0%

ARENA

polymarket · open

$2.8K vol
Yes18.0%
Buy Yes 18.0%
No87.0%
Buy No 87.0%

PAIS

polymarket · open

$2.8K vol
Yes5.00%
Buy Yes 5.00%
No96.0%
Buy No 96.0%

Salvadoran Democracy (DS)

polymarket · open

$851 vol
Yes5.00%
Buy Yes 5.00%
No98.9%
Buy No 98.9%

Nuevas Ideas (NI)

polymarket · open

$2.2K vol
Yes2.80%
Buy Yes 2.80%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

FMLN

polymarket · open

$853 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

PDC

polymarket · open

$627 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Solidary Force (FS)

polymarket · open

$505 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

FPS

polymarket · open

$763 vol
Yes0.80%
Buy Yes 0.80%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

GANA

polymarket · open

$564 vol
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Timeline

Opened
Oct 2, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

Legislative elections to elect the 60 members of the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador are scheduled to take place on February 28, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of El Salvador as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by February 29, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be counted only where they are attributed to the specified party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. Notwithstanding the above, if candidates from two or more parties run on the same list, each seat won by that list will be counted toward the party to which the elected candidate belongs. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Supreme Electoral Tribunal of El Salvador (https://www.tse.gob.sv/).

El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck