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politicselection· POLY-1120117

Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner

$22.0K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

18 markets

Javier Milei

polymarket · open

$7.0K vol
Yes70.0%
Buy Yes 70.0%
No50.0%
Buy No 50.0%

Axel Kicillof

polymarket · open

$5.4K vol
Yes22.0%
Buy Yes 22.0%
No83.0%
Buy No 83.0%

Cristina Fernández de Kirchner

polymarket · open

$329 vol
Yes11.0%
Buy Yes 11.0%
No99.1%
Buy No 99.1%

Daniel Hadad

polymarket · open

$446 vol
Yes10.0%
Buy Yes 10.0%
No99.1%
Buy No 99.1%

Karina Milei

polymarket · open

$342 vol
Yes9.10%
Buy Yes 9.10%
No99.1%
Buy No 99.1%

Sergio Massa

polymarket · open

$3.9K vol
Yes8.20%
Buy Yes 8.20%
No99.1%
Buy No 99.1%

Myriam Bregman

polymarket · open

$437 vol
Yes7.50%
Buy Yes 7.50%
No99.3%
Buy No 99.3%

Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro

polymarket · open

$334 vol
Yes6.80%
Buy Yes 6.80%
No99.2%
Buy No 99.2%

Guillermo Moreno

polymarket · open

$449 vol
Yes5.60%
Buy Yes 5.60%
No98.8%
Buy No 98.8%

Facundo Manes

polymarket · open

$286 vol
Yes4.20%
Buy Yes 4.20%
No99.4%
Buy No 99.4%

Juan Grabois

polymarket · open

$596 vol
Yes3.90%
Buy Yes 3.90%
No99.4%
Buy No 99.4%

Mauricio Macri

polymarket · open

$469 vol
Yes3.30%
Buy Yes 3.30%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%

Patricia Bullrich

polymarket · open

$631 vol
Yes3.00%
Buy Yes 3.00%
No98.9%
Buy No 98.9%

Juan Schiaretti

polymarket · open

$258 vol
Yes2.80%
Buy Yes 2.80%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

Dante Gebel

polymarket · open

$413 vol
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Nicolás del Caño

polymarket · open

$230 vol
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Esteban Bullrich

polymarket · open

$216 vol
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Victoria Villarruel

polymarket · open

$216 vol
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Timeline

Opened
Oct 2, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Argentine government, specifically the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck