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politicselection· POLY-1159975

Colima Congress Election Winner

$20.1K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

6 markets

Morena

polymarket · open

$8.2K vol
Yes69.0%
Buy Yes 69.0%
No32.0%
Buy No 32.0%

PVEM

polymarket · open

$6.3K vol
Yes7.00%
Buy Yes 7.00%
No94.0%
Buy No 94.0%

PT

polymarket · open

$2.7K vol
Yes7.00%
Buy Yes 7.00%
No97.0%
Buy No 97.0%

MC

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol
Yes4.90%
Buy Yes 4.90%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%

PRI

polymarket · open

$967 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

PAN

polymarket · open

$819 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Timeline

Opened
Oct 9, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

Legislative elections to elect the 25 members of the Congress of the State of Colima are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Colima as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Colima. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Colima, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Colima and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Colima (https://ieecolima.org.mx/).

Colima Congress Election Winner | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck