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politicselection· POLY-1159976

Durango Congress Election Winner

$13.8K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

6 markets

Morena

polymarket · open

$5.5K vol
Yes66.0%
Buy Yes 66.0%
No81.0%
Buy No 81.0%

PRI

polymarket · open

$2.9K vol
Yes22.0%
Buy Yes 22.0%
No81.0%
Buy No 81.0%

MC

polymarket · open

$1.6K vol
Yes15.0%
Buy Yes 15.0%
No91.0%
Buy No 91.0%

PAN

polymarket · open

$968 vol
Yes9.00%
Buy Yes 9.00%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

PVEM

polymarket · open

$1.4K vol
Yes8.00%
Buy Yes 8.00%
No95.0%
Buy No 95.0%

PT

polymarket · open

$1.5K vol
Yes1.50%
Buy Yes 1.50%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%

Timeline

Opened
Oct 9, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

Legislative elections to elect the 25 members of the Congress of the State of Durango are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Durango as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana del Estado de Durango. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana del Estado de Durango, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Durango and Mexico, including the Instituto Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana del Estado de Durango (https://www.iepcdurango.mx/).

Durango Congress Election Winner | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck