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politicselection· POLY-1178436

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

$101.9K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

16 markets

Marine Le Pen

polymarket · open

$44.8K vol
Yes86.0%
Buy Yes 86.0%
No16.0%
Buy No 16.0%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

polymarket · open

$18.9K vol
Yes9.90%
Buy Yes 9.90%
No91.8%
Buy No 91.8%

Christine Lagarde

polymarket · open

$2.1K vol
Yes4.50%
Buy Yes 4.50%
No98.2%
Buy No 98.2%

Édouard Philippe

polymarket · open

$5.7K vol
Yes4.00%
Buy Yes 4.00%
No98.5%
Buy No 98.5%

Jordan Bardella

polymarket · open

$4.8K vol
Yes3.20%
Buy Yes 3.20%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

David Lisnard

polymarket · open

$5.5K vol
Yes2.90%
Buy Yes 2.90%
No98.4%
Buy No 98.4%

Raphaël Glucksmann

polymarket · open

$5.3K vol
Yes0.50%
Buy Yes 0.50%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

François Hollande

polymarket · open

$1.8K vol
Yes0.50%
Buy Yes 0.50%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Dominique de Villepin

polymarket · open

$2.3K vol
Yes0.30%
Buy Yes 0.30%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Gabriel Attal

polymarket · open

$1.6K vol
Yes0.30%
Buy Yes 0.30%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Bruno Retailleau

polymarket · open

$2.0K vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

François Ruffin

polymarket · open

$2.0K vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Sébastien Lecornu

polymarket · open

$1.9K vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Sarah Knafo

polymarket · open

$1.7K vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Éric Zemmour

polymarket · open

$799 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Marine Tondelier

polymarket · open

$715 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Timeline

Opened
Oct 12, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

French Presidential Election First Round Winner | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck