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politicselection· POLY-1178455

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

$42.8K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

16 markets

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

polymarket · open

$9.9K vol
Yes30.0%
Buy Yes 30.0%
No71.0%
Buy No 71.0%

Édouard Philippe

polymarket · open

$6.4K vol
Yes27.0%
Buy Yes 27.0%
No75.0%
Buy No 75.0%

Raphaël Glucksmann

polymarket · open

$5.4K vol
Yes18.0%
Buy Yes 18.0%
No86.0%
Buy No 86.0%

David Lisnard

polymarket · open

$4.8K vol
Yes18.0%
Buy Yes 18.0%
No87.0%
Buy No 87.0%

Christine Lagarde

polymarket · open

$2.2K vol
Yes8.00%
Buy Yes 8.00%
No97.5%
Buy No 97.5%

Marine Le Pen

polymarket · open

$3.0K vol
Yes7.80%
Buy Yes 7.80%
No98.1%
Buy No 98.1%

Gabriel Attal

polymarket · open

$2.9K vol
Yes6.00%
Buy Yes 6.00%
No99.3%
Buy No 99.3%

François Hollande

polymarket · open

$972 vol
Yes4.00%
Buy Yes 4.00%
No99.2%
Buy No 99.2%

Dominique de Villepin

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol
Yes1.90%
Buy Yes 1.90%
No99.2%
Buy No 99.2%

François Ruffin

polymarket · open

$913 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Jordan Bardella

polymarket · open

$1.0K vol
Yes0.40%
Buy Yes 0.40%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

Éric Zemmour

polymarket · open

$933 vol
Yes0.40%
Buy Yes 0.40%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Sarah Knafo

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Bruno Retailleau

polymarket · open

$1.0K vol
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Marine Tondelier

polymarket · open

$695 vol
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Sébastien Lecornu

polymarket · open

$316 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Timeline

Opened
Oct 12, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck