No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
polymarket · open
Yes82.9%
Buy Yes 82.9%
No19.1%
Buy No 19.1%
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Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
politics· POLY-1178893
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
$435.7K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$81.1K vol
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
polymarket · open
Yes18.0%
Buy Yes 18.0%
No82.5%
Buy No 82.5%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
polymarket · open
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
polymarket · open
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%
Timeline
- Opened
- Oct 12, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.