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culture· POLY-1188161

Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations

$70.8K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

26 markets

Julianne Moore

polymarket · open

$2.6K vol

Yes98.9%

Buy Yes 98.9%

No4.50%

Buy No 4.50%

Inde Navarrette

polymarket · open

$7.4K vol

Yes81.0%

Buy Yes 81.0%

No20.0%

Buy No 20.0%

Olivia Wilde

polymarket · open

$5.2K vol

Yes70.0%

Buy Yes 70.0%

No32.0%

Buy No 32.0%

Sandra Hüller

polymarket · open

$6.9K vol

Yes67.0%

Buy Yes 67.0%

No37.0%

Buy No 37.0%

Virginie Efira

polymarket · open

$5.3K vol

Yes45.0%

Buy Yes 45.0%

No56.0%

Buy No 56.0%

Ruth Madeley

polymarket · open

$2.5K vol

Yes45.0%

Buy Yes 45.0%

No57.0%

Buy No 57.0%

Renate Reinsve

polymarket · open

$5.8K vol

Yes27.0%

Buy Yes 27.0%

No75.0%

Buy No 75.0%

Zendaya

polymarket · open

$3.3K vol

Yes22.8%

Buy Yes 22.8%

No80.2%

Buy No 80.2%

Rosalind Eleazar

polymarket · open

$8.7K vol

Yes17.0%

Buy Yes 17.0%

No84.0%

Buy No 84.0%

Sophie Okonedo

polymarket · open

$2.2K vol

Yes15.4%

Buy Yes 15.4%

No92.0%

Buy No 92.0%

Emily Blunt

polymarket · open

$3.1K vol

Yes11.2%

Buy Yes 11.2%

No89.9%

Buy No 89.9%

Lily Gladstone

polymarket · open

$869 vol

Yes10.5%

Buy Yes 10.5%

No97.5%

Buy No 97.5%

Anne Hathaway

polymarket · open

$3.5K vol

Yes9.40%

Buy Yes 9.40%

No93.8%

Buy No 93.8%

Mikey Madison

polymarket · open

$896 vol

Yes8.00%

Buy Yes 8.00%

No93.0%

Buy No 93.0%

Michelle Williams

polymarket · open

$918 vol

Yes7.70%

Buy Yes 7.70%

No93.9%

Buy No 93.9%

Michelle Monaghan

polymarket · open

$120 vol

Yes7.70%

Buy Yes 7.70%

No95.3%

Buy No 95.3%

Daisy Edgar-Jones

polymarket · open

$1.9K vol

Yes7.40%

Buy Yes 7.40%

No93.0%

Buy No 93.0%

Laura Linney

polymarket · open

$301 vol

Yes7.30%

Buy Yes 7.30%

No98.9%

Buy No 98.9%

Dakota Johnson

polymarket · open

$636 vol

Yes7.20%

Buy Yes 7.20%

No96.2%

Buy No 96.2%

Kirsten Dunst

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol

Yes7.00%

Buy Yes 7.00%

No98.9%

Buy No 98.9%

Joan Collins

polymarket · open

$1.3K vol

Yes6.50%

Buy Yes 6.50%

No99.1%

Buy No 99.1%

Scarlett Johansson

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol

Yes5.90%

Buy Yes 5.90%

No95.2%

Buy No 95.2%

Natalie Portman

polymarket · open

$961 vol

Yes5.80%

Buy Yes 5.80%

No95.3%

Buy No 95.3%

Shailene Woodley

polymarket · open

$463 vol

Yes5.50%

Buy Yes 5.50%

No98.9%

Buy No 98.9%

Penélope Cruz

polymarket · open

$2.0K vol

Yes5.40%

Buy Yes 5.40%

No95.8%

Buy No 95.8%

Cynthia Erivo

polymarket · open

$1.8K vol

Yes4.90%

Buy Yes 4.90%

No98.9%

Buy No 98.9%

Timeline

Opened: Oct 14, 2026
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.