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culture· POLY-1188341

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Winner

$26.1K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

10 markets

Water Cooler

polymarket · open

$316 vol
Yes44.6%
Buy Yes 44.6%
No98.9%
Buy No 98.9%

The Tuners

polymarket · open

$10.1K vol
Yes28.0%
Buy Yes 28.0%
No78.0%
Buy No 78.0%

A Derailment

polymarket · open

$11.1K vol
Yes17.0%
Buy Yes 17.0%
No85.0%
Buy No 85.0%

The Baddest Speechwriter of All

polymarket · open

$647 vol
Yes16.5%
Buy Yes 16.5%
No96.6%
Buy No 96.6%

A Wolf in the Suburbs

polymarket · open

$203 vol
Yes8.90%
Buy Yes 8.90%
No99.3%
Buy No 99.3%

Oh Whale

polymarket · open

$100 vol
Yes8.80%
Buy Yes 8.80%
No98.1%
Buy No 98.1%

We're Fine

polymarket · open

$3.1K vol
Yes7.70%
Buy Yes 7.70%
No98.0%
Buy No 98.0%

One Last Order

polymarket · open

$180 vol
Yes6.30%
Buy Yes 6.30%
No99.2%
Buy No 99.2%

A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil

polymarket · open

$201 vol
Yes2.70%
Buy Yes 2.70%
No99.5%
Buy No 99.5%

Listen

polymarket · open

$215 vol
Yes2.60%
Buy Yes 2.60%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

Timeline

Opened
Oct 14, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Winner | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck