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culture· POLY-1188342

Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film Winner

$21.2K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

10 markets

Agapito

polymarket · open

$4.8K vol
Yes21.0%
Buy Yes 21.0%
No80.0%
Buy No 80.0%

Spilled Milk

polymarket · open

$5.5K vol
Yes14.0%
Buy Yes 14.0%
No90.0%
Buy No 90.0%

Meeting Your Maker

polymarket · open

$333 vol
Yes11.9%
Buy Yes 11.9%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%

Magan's Fare

polymarket · open

$585 vol
Yes11.0%
Buy Yes 11.0%
No96.0%
Buy No 96.0%

Mary is Missing

polymarket · open

$351 vol
Yes10.0%
Buy Yes 10.0%
No97.0%
Buy No 97.0%

32B

polymarket · open

$330 vol
Yes9.90%
Buy Yes 9.90%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

The Man That I Wave At

polymarket · open

$2.3K vol
Yes7.10%
Buy Yes 7.10%
No98.2%
Buy No 98.2%

The Birthday Gift

polymarket · open

$937 vol
Yes5.80%
Buy Yes 5.80%
No96.5%
Buy No 96.5%

Nightfaces

polymarket · open

$5.7K vol
Yes4.30%
Buy Yes 4.30%
No98.6%
Buy No 98.6%

Pale Sun

polymarket · open

$380 vol
Yes3.40%
Buy Yes 3.40%
No99.5%
Buy No 99.5%

Timeline

Opened
Oct 14, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Live Action Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Live Action Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Oscars 2027: Best Live Action Short Film Winner | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck