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politics· POLY-1191093

Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

$9.2K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

2 markets

December 31

polymarket · open

$6.6K vol

Yes84.0%

Buy Yes 84.0%

No21.0%

Buy No 21.0%

October 31

polymarket · open

$2.6K vol

Yes4.30%

Buy Yes 4.30%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

Timeline

Opened: Oct 14, 2026
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.