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Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity

economics· POLY-1220957

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?

$26.6K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

9 markets

4.6-4.9%

polymarket · open

$9.9K vol
Yes54.0%
Buy Yes 54.0%
No49.0%
Buy No 49.0%

4.3-4.6%

polymarket · open

$5.4K vol
Yes44.0%
Buy Yes 44.0%
No58.0%
Buy No 58.0%

4.9-5.2%

polymarket · open

$3.4K vol
Yes7.40%
Buy Yes 7.40%
No98.4%
Buy No 98.4%

4.0-4.3%

polymarket · open

$2.2K vol
Yes2.10%
Buy Yes 2.10%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%

5.2-5.5%

polymarket · open

$1.5K vol
Yes1.20%
Buy Yes 1.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

5.5%+

polymarket · open

$2.0K vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

<3.4%

polymarket · open

$1.2K vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

3.7-4.0%

polymarket · open

$499 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

3.4-3.7%

polymarket · open

$412 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Timeline

Opened
Oct 20, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled for some time in January 2027. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026? | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck