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Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity

tech· POLY-1226870

How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?

$16.0K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

9 markets

400k to 425k

polymarket · open

$1.2K vol
Yes36.5%
Buy Yes 36.5%
No82.4%
Buy No 82.4%

425k to 450k

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol
Yes20.7%
Buy Yes 20.7%
No84.2%
Buy No 84.2%

500k to 525k

polymarket · open

$2.0K vol
Yes17.0%
Buy Yes 17.0%
No85.0%
Buy No 85.0%

475k to 500k

polymarket · open

$3.5K vol
Yes15.0%
Buy Yes 15.0%
No88.0%
Buy No 88.0%

450k to 475k

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol
Yes15.0%
Buy Yes 15.0%
No88.0%
Buy No 88.0%

550k to 575k

polymarket · open

$547 vol
Yes14.8%
Buy Yes 14.8%
No94.2%
Buy No 94.2%

575k+

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol
Yes10.6%
Buy Yes 10.6%
No97.1%
Buy No 97.1%

<400k

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol
Yes5.00%
Buy Yes 5.00%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%

525k to 550k

polymarket · open

$4.5K vol
Yes3.20%
Buy Yes 3.20%
No98.3%
Buy No 98.3%

Timeline

Opened
Oct 21, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026? | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck