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culture· POLY-1263375

Ballon d'Or Winner 2027

$21.9K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

28 markets

Lamine Yamal

polymarket · open

$3.0K vol

Yes25.0%

Buy Yes 25.0%

No76.0%

Buy No 76.0%

Kylian Mbappé

polymarket · open

$2.3K vol

Yes23.0%

Buy Yes 23.0%

No79.0%

Buy No 79.0%

Raphinha

polymarket · open

$1.4K vol

Yes16.0%

Buy Yes 16.0%

No86.0%

Buy No 86.0%

Michael Olise

polymarket · open

$1.5K vol

Yes12.2%

Buy Yes 12.2%

No90.1%

Buy No 90.1%

Erling Haaland

polymarket · open

$705 vol

Yes7.70%

Buy Yes 7.70%

No95.8%

Buy No 95.8%

Rayan Cherki

polymarket · open

$936 vol

Yes7.20%

Buy Yes 7.20%

No97.6%

Buy No 97.6%

Harry Kane

polymarket · open

$664 vol

Yes6.50%

Buy Yes 6.50%

No94.0%

Buy No 94.0%

Declan Rice

polymarket · open

$620 vol

Yes5.30%

Buy Yes 5.30%

No97.1%

Buy No 97.1%

Desire Doue

polymarket · open

$2.2K vol

Yes5.00%

Buy Yes 5.00%

No96.0%

Buy No 96.0%

Vitinha

polymarket · open

$976 vol

Yes4.80%

Buy Yes 4.80%

No98.8%

Buy No 98.8%

Jude Bellingham

polymarket · open

$744 vol

Yes4.50%

Buy Yes 4.50%

No96.0%

Buy No 96.0%

Ousmane Dembélé

polymarket · open

$469 vol

Yes4.50%

Buy Yes 4.50%

No98.2%

Buy No 98.2%

Julian Alvarez

polymarket · open

$447 vol

Yes4.00%

Buy Yes 4.00%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Fabian Ruiz

polymarket · open

$417 vol

Yes3.30%

Buy Yes 3.30%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

Luis Diaz

polymarket · open

$298 vol

Yes2.90%

Buy Yes 2.90%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Mohamed Salah

polymarket · open

$298 vol

Yes2.90%

Buy Yes 2.90%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Rodri

polymarket · open

$469 vol

Yes2.80%

Buy Yes 2.80%

No99.4%

Buy No 99.4%

Alexander Isak

polymarket · open

$346 vol

Yes2.60%

Buy Yes 2.60%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Bruno Fernandes

polymarket · open

$346 vol

Yes2.50%

Buy Yes 2.50%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Achraf Hakimi

polymarket · open

$349 vol

Yes2.40%

Buy Yes 2.40%

No99.6%

Buy No 99.6%

Bukayo Saka

polymarket · open

$439 vol

Yes2.00%

Buy Yes 2.00%

No99.7%

Buy No 99.7%

João Neves

polymarket · open

$298 vol

Yes1.50%

Buy Yes 1.50%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

William Saliba

polymarket · open

$298 vol

Yes1.40%

Buy Yes 1.40%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Marc Cucurella

polymarket · open

$298 vol

Yes1.30%

Buy Yes 1.30%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Lautaro Martinez

polymarket · open

$298 vol

Yes1.00%

Buy Yes 1.00%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Cristiano Ronaldo

polymarket · open

$1.0K vol

Yes0.60%

Buy Yes 0.60%

No99.9%

Buy No 99.9%

Lionel Messi

polymarket · open

$536 vol

Yes0.30%

Buy Yes 0.30%

No99.8%

Buy No 99.8%

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

polymarket · open

$200 vol

Yes0.10%

Buy Yes 0.10%

No100.0%

Buy No 100.0%

Timeline

Opened: Oct 27, 2026
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Ballon d'Or award for the 2027 Ballon d'Or. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by France Football and UEFA rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2027 Ballon d'Or is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.