December 31, 2027
polymarket · open
Yes49.0%
Buy Yes 49.0%
No79.0%
Buy No 79.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
politics· POLY-1272185
Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?
$29.8K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$576 vol
June 30, 2027
polymarket · open
Yes20.0%
Buy Yes 20.0%
No81.0%
Buy No 81.0%
March 31, 2027
polymarket · open
Yes12.0%
Buy Yes 12.0%
No91.0%
Buy No 91.0%
December 31, 2026
polymarket · open
Yes5.00%
Buy Yes 5.00%
No97.0%
Buy No 97.0%
November 30, 2026
polymarket · open
Yes2.40%
Buy Yes 2.40%
No99.5%
Buy No 99.5%
Timeline
- Opened
- Oct 28, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "return" is defined as Flávio Bolsonaro physically entering the terrestrial territory of Brazil. Whether or not Bolsonaro enters Brazilian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. If it is confirmed that Flávio Bolsonaro was present in the terrestrial territory of Brazil at the time of market creation, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.