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Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity

economics· POLY-1280306

Bank of Japan Decision in January?

$13.7K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

5 markets

No Change

polymarket · open

$8.3K vol
Yes73.0%
Buy Yes 73.0%
No28.0%
Buy No 28.0%

25 bps increase

polymarket · open

$3.2K vol
Yes27.0%
Buy Yes 27.0%
No74.0%
Buy No 74.0%

50+ bps increase

polymarket · open

$612 vol
Yes2.00%
Buy Yes 2.00%
No99.1%
Buy No 99.1%

50+ bps decrease

polymarket · open

$751 vol
Yes1.90%
Buy Yes 1.90%
No99.3%
Buy No 99.3%

25 bps decrease

polymarket · open

$795 vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%

Timeline

Opened
Oct 29, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the January 2027 meeting of the Bank of Japan's Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its January 2027 Monetary Policy Meeting, scheduled to conclude on January 22, 2027, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan's Policy Board resulting from its January 2027 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Bank of Japan Decision in January? | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck