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Jupiter Trending

Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity

politics· POLY-1280748

Next Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$3.3K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

6 markets

Aloizio Mercadante

polymarket · open

$227 vol
Yes55.0%
Buy Yes 55.0%
No96.0%
Buy No 96.0%

Mauro Vieira

polymarket · open

$208 vol
Yes51.0%
Buy Yes 51.0%
No89.0%
Buy No 89.0%

Jaques Wagner

polymarket · open

$966 vol
Yes9.90%
Buy Yes 9.90%
No96.2%
Buy No 96.2%

Maria Laura da Rocha

polymarket · open

$597 vol
Yes9.60%
Buy Yes 9.60%
No98.4%
Buy No 98.4%

Celso Amorim

polymarket · open

$1.2K vol
Yes9.00%
Buy Yes 9.00%
No92.0%
Buy No 92.0%

Fernando Haddad

polymarket · open

$115 vol
Yes4.90%
Buy Yes 4.90%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%

Timeline

Opened
Oct 30, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs (Ministro das Relações Exteriores) in the government of the President of Brazil whose term begins on January 5, 2027. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed to that government by the President of Brazil. An individual serving as Minister of Foreign Affairs at the end of the previous term who is reappointed or retained in that position at the start of the new term will count as assuming office in that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Foreign Affairs will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Foreign Affairs” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Foreign Affairs are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Foreign Affairs assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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