5600+
polymarket · open
Yes98.3%
Buy Yes 98.3%
No6.40%
Buy No 6.40%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
climate & science· POLY-1283700
Measles cases in U.S. by November 30?
$5.6K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$2.0K vol
5800+
polymarket · open
Yes88.0%
Buy Yes 88.0%
No29.0%
Buy No 29.0%
6000+
polymarket · open
Yes57.0%
Buy Yes 57.0%
No85.0%
Buy No 85.0%
5000+
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
4600+
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
4800+
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Timeline
- Opened
- Oct 30, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.