<5
polymarket · open
Yes70.6%
Buy Yes 70.6%
No30.0%
Buy No 30.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
culture· POLY-1286705
Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2026?
$10.9K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$3.8K vol
5-9
polymarket · open
Yes28.1%
Buy Yes 28.1%
No76.4%
Buy No 76.4%
10-14
polymarket · open
Yes6.80%
Buy Yes 6.80%
No98.8%
Buy No 98.8%
20-24
polymarket · open
Yes3.00%
Buy Yes 3.00%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%
15-19
polymarket · open
Yes2.70%
Buy Yes 2.70%
No99.4%
Buy No 99.4%
25-29
polymarket · open
Yes2.60%
Buy Yes 2.60%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%
30-34
polymarket · open
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%
40-44
polymarket · open
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%
35-39
polymarket · open
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%
45-49
polymarket · open
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%
50-54
polymarket · open
Yes0.80%
Buy Yes 0.80%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%
55-59
polymarket · open
Yes0.80%
Buy Yes 0.80%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%
60+
polymarket · open
Yes0.40%
Buy Yes 0.40%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%
Timeline
- Opened
- Oct 31, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between November 3, 12:00 PM ET and November 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.