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tech· POLY-1295274

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December?

$11.2K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

21 markets

Anthropic

polymarket · open

$2.6K vol
Yes79.0%
Buy Yes 79.0%
No27.0%
Buy No 27.0%

OpenAI

polymarket · open

$2.5K vol
Yes16.0%
Buy Yes 16.0%
No89.0%
Buy No 89.0%

Google

polymarket · open

$689 vol
Yes10.6%
Buy Yes 10.6%
No97.6%
Buy No 97.6%

MiniMax

polymarket · open

$485 vol
Yes10.3%
Buy Yes 10.3%
No97.9%
Buy No 97.9%

Amazon

polymarket · open

$266 vol
Yes8.90%
Buy Yes 8.90%
No99.3%
Buy No 99.3%

Microsoft

polymarket · open

$296 vol
Yes8.50%
Buy Yes 8.50%
No99.5%
Buy No 99.5%

SpaceXAI

polymarket · open

$281 vol
Yes7.90%
Buy Yes 7.90%
No99.4%
Buy No 99.4%

Xiaomi

polymarket · open

$324 vol
Yes7.80%
Buy Yes 7.80%
No98.9%
Buy No 98.9%

Z.ai

polymarket · open

$369 vol
Yes6.70%
Buy Yes 6.70%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%

Thinky

polymarket · open

$351 vol
Yes6.00%
Buy Yes 6.00%
No99.5%
Buy No 99.5%

Moonshot

polymarket · open

$355 vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Meta

polymarket · open

$338 vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Alibaba

polymarket · open

$319 vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Meituan

polymarket · open

$305 vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

StepFun

polymarket · open

$276 vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

Tencent

polymarket · open

$267 vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

DeepSeek

polymarket · open

$262 vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

ByteDance

polymarket · open

$257 vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

Nvidia

polymarket · open

$251 vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Mistral

polymarket · open

$225 vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Baidu

polymarket · open

$190 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Timeline

Opened
Nov 1, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on December 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of December? | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck