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climate & science· POLY-1299339

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 4?

$22.0K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

11 markets

28°C

polymarket · open

$3.5K vol
Yes51.0%
Buy Yes 51.0%
No54.0%
Buy No 54.0%

27°C

polymarket · open

$3.4K vol
Yes35.0%
Buy Yes 35.0%
No66.0%
Buy No 66.0%

29°C

polymarket · open

$5.3K vol
Yes14.0%
Buy Yes 14.0%
No87.0%
Buy No 87.0%

26°C

polymarket · open

$1.7K vol
Yes5.70%
Buy Yes 5.70%
No97.7%
Buy No 97.7%

30°C

polymarket · open

$1.5K vol
Yes3.10%
Buy Yes 3.10%
No97.7%
Buy No 97.7%

31°C

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol
Yes0.60%
Buy Yes 0.60%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

22°C or below

polymarket · open

$2.2K vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

25°C

polymarket · open

$2.0K vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

32°C or higher

polymarket · open

$650 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

23°C

polymarket · open

$301 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

24°C

polymarket · open

$288 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Timeline

Opened
Nov 2, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Nov '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 4? | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck