4.72%
polymarket · open
Yes100.0%
Buy Yes 100.0%
No0.10%
Buy No 0.10%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
economics· POLY-1302869
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in November?
$4.6K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$518 vol
4.68%
polymarket · open
Yes100.0%
Buy Yes 100.0%
No0.10%
Buy No 0.10%
4.76%
polymarket · open
Yes74.0%
Buy Yes 74.0%
No89.0%
Buy No 89.0%
4.88%
polymarket · open
Yes68.0%
Buy Yes 68.0%
No90.0%
Buy No 90.0%
4.80%
polymarket · open
Yes63.0%
Buy Yes 63.0%
No93.0%
Buy No 93.0%
4.84%
polymarket · open
Yes35.0%
Buy Yes 35.0%
No94.0%
Buy No 94.0%
4.97%
polymarket · open
Yes15.0%
Buy Yes 15.0%
No92.0%
Buy No 92.0%
4.92%
polymarket · open
Yes12.6%
Buy Yes 12.6%
No92.5%
Buy No 92.5%
5.02%
polymarket · open
Yes10.7%
Buy Yes 10.7%
No97.1%
Buy No 97.1%
Timeline
- Opened
- Nov 2, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 3, 2026 and November 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of November 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of November 2026 by December 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "2 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).