Guy Cormier
polymarket · open
Yes81.0%
Buy Yes 81.0%
No27.0%
Buy No 27.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
politicselection· POLY-1305343
Laurier—Sainte-Marie By-Election Winner
$1.3K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$674 vol
Zumretay Arkin
polymarket · open
Yes22.0%
Buy Yes 22.0%
No85.0%
Buy No 85.0%
Nimâ Machouf
polymarket · open
Yes11.0%
Buy Yes 11.0%
No97.0%
Buy No 97.0%
Mathieu Fournier
polymarket · open
Yes9.00%
Buy Yes 9.00%
No97.0%
Buy No 97.0%
Timeline
- Opened
- Nov 3, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Laurier—Sainte-Marie is currently scheduled to be held on December 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Laurier—Sainte-Marie by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).