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Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity

politics· POLY-1309394

How many Taiwanese mayor/magistrate races will KMT win?

$556 volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

9 markets

10

polymarket · open

$0 vol
Yes56.0%
Buy Yes 56.0%
No88.0%
Buy No 88.0%

13

polymarket · open

$40 vol
Yes51.0%
Buy Yes 51.0%
No94.0%
Buy No 94.0%

14

polymarket · open

$40 vol
Yes51.0%
Buy Yes 51.0%
No93.0%
Buy No 93.0%

11

polymarket · open

$60 vol
Yes50.0%
Buy Yes 50.0%
No95.0%
Buy No 95.0%

≥15

polymarket · open

$40 vol
Yes49.0%
Buy Yes 49.0%
No95.0%
Buy No 95.0%

12

polymarket · open

$60 vol
Yes47.0%
Buy Yes 47.0%
No97.0%
Buy No 97.0%

9

polymarket · open

$0 vol
Yes30.0%
Buy Yes 30.0%
No90.0%
Buy No 90.0%

≤7

polymarket · open

$216 vol
Yes29.0%
Buy Yes 29.0%
No97.0%
Buy No 97.0%

8

polymarket · open

$100 vol
Yes18.0%
Buy Yes 18.0%
No92.0%
Buy No 92.0%

Timeline

Opened
Nov 3, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Magistrate elections for Taiwan’s special municipalities, counties, and cities won by the Kuomintang (KMT) during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties: Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County If the results of the 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

How many Taiwanese mayor/magistrate races will KMT win? | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck