Below 4.44%
polymarket · open
Yes67.0%
Buy Yes 67.0%
No51.0%
Buy No 51.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
economics· POLY-1310072
How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in November?
$1.2K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$46 vol
Below 4.41%
polymarket · open
Yes56.0%
Buy Yes 56.0%
No91.0%
Buy No 91.0%
Below 4.35%
polymarket · open
Yes48.0%
Buy Yes 48.0%
No77.0%
Buy No 77.0%
Below 4.32%
polymarket · open
Yes43.0%
Buy Yes 43.0%
No87.0%
Buy No 87.0%
Below 4.29%
polymarket · open
Yes38.0%
Buy Yes 38.0%
No91.0%
Buy No 91.0%
Below 4.26%
polymarket · open
Yes34.0%
Buy Yes 34.0%
No97.0%
Buy No 97.0%
Below 4.38%
polymarket · open
Yes25.0%
Buy Yes 25.0%
No80.0%
Buy No 80.0%
Below 4.22%
polymarket · open
Yes10.0%
Buy Yes 10.0%
No97.0%
Buy No 97.0%
Below 4.18%
polymarket · open
Yes9.00%
Buy Yes 9.00%
No97.0%
Buy No 97.0%
Timeline
- Opened
- Nov 3, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 3, 2026 and November 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 2-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of November 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of November 2026 by December 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "2 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).