4.83%
polymarket · open
Yes68.0%
Buy Yes 68.0%
No49.0%
Buy No 49.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
economics· POLY-1310114
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in November?
$1.3K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$90 vol
4.87%
polymarket · open
Yes56.0%
Buy Yes 56.0%
No61.0%
Buy No 61.0%
4.91%
polymarket · open
Yes55.0%
Buy Yes 55.0%
No73.0%
Buy No 73.0%
4.95%
polymarket · open
Yes47.0%
Buy Yes 47.0%
No76.0%
Buy No 76.0%
4.99%
polymarket · open
Yes40.0%
Buy Yes 40.0%
No83.0%
Buy No 83.0%
5.03%
polymarket · open
Yes34.0%
Buy Yes 34.0%
No89.0%
Buy No 89.0%
5.07%
polymarket · open
Yes25.0%
Buy Yes 25.0%
No90.0%
Buy No 90.0%
5.12%
polymarket · open
Yes21.0%
Buy Yes 21.0%
No94.0%
Buy No 94.0%
5.17%
polymarket · open
Yes12.0%
Buy Yes 12.0%
No91.0%
Buy No 91.0%
Timeline
- Opened
- Nov 3, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 3, 2026 and November 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of November 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of November 2026 by December 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).