Below 5.05%
polymarket · open
Yes90.0%
Buy Yes 90.0%
No68.0%
Buy No 68.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
economics· POLY-1310157
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in November?
$1.5K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$195 vol
Below 5.02%
polymarket · open
Yes87.0%
Buy Yes 87.0%
No74.0%
Buy No 74.0%
Below 4.99%
polymarket · open
Yes87.0%
Buy Yes 87.0%
No87.0%
Buy No 87.0%
Below 4.96%
polymarket · open
Yes84.0%
Buy Yes 84.0%
No95.0%
Buy No 95.0%
Below 5.17%
polymarket · open
Yes70.0%
Buy Yes 70.0%
No52.0%
Buy No 52.0%
Below 5.20%
polymarket · open
Yes65.0%
Buy Yes 65.0%
No50.0%
Buy No 50.0%
Below 5.14%
polymarket · open
Yes50.0%
Buy Yes 50.0%
No54.0%
Buy No 54.0%
Below 5.08%
polymarket · open
Yes45.0%
Buy Yes 45.0%
No87.0%
Buy No 87.0%
Below 5.11%
polymarket · open
Yes39.0%
Buy Yes 39.0%
No89.0%
Buy No 89.0%
Timeline
- Opened
- Nov 3, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 3, 2026 and November 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of November 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of November 2026 by December 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).