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politics· POLY-1310445

Nevada Democratic Presidential Primary Winner 2028

$3.4K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

20 markets

Pete Buttigieg

polymarket · open

$232 vol
Yes61.0%
Buy Yes 61.0%
No91.0%
Buy No 91.0%

Stephen A. Smith

polymarket · open

$209 vol
Yes48.0%
Buy Yes 48.0%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

Jon Ossoff

polymarket · open

$576 vol
Yes42.0%
Buy Yes 42.0%
No97.0%
Buy No 97.0%

Bernie Sanders

polymarket · open

$85 vol
Yes36.3%
Buy Yes 36.3%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

polymarket · open

$145 vol
Yes20.0%
Buy Yes 20.0%
No82.0%
Buy No 82.0%

Michelle Obama

polymarket · open

$124 vol
Yes10.0%
Buy Yes 10.0%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

Josh Shapiro

polymarket · open

$670 vol
Yes9.00%
Buy Yes 9.00%
No97.0%
Buy No 97.0%

Andy Beshear

polymarket · open

$158 vol
Yes9.00%
Buy Yes 9.00%
No93.0%
Buy No 93.0%

Rahm Emanuel

polymarket · open

$87 vol
Yes8.10%
Buy Yes 8.10%
No96.9%
Buy No 96.9%

James Talarico

polymarket · open

$71 vol
Yes7.90%
Buy Yes 7.90%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

Jon Stewart

polymarket · open

$74 vol
Yes7.80%
Buy Yes 7.80%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

Raphael Warnock

polymarket · open

$74 vol
Yes6.60%
Buy Yes 6.60%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%

Cory Booker

polymarket · open

$91 vol
Yes6.50%
Buy Yes 6.50%
No99.2%
Buy No 99.2%

Wes Moore

polymarket · open

$85 vol
Yes6.00%
Buy Yes 6.00%
No99.5%
Buy No 99.5%

Ro Khanna

polymarket · open

$80 vol
Yes6.00%
Buy Yes 6.00%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

Gavin Newsom

polymarket · open

$87 vol
Yes5.40%
Buy Yes 5.40%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%

Mark Kelly

polymarket · open

$59 vol
Yes5.30%
Buy Yes 5.30%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

J.B. Pritzker

polymarket · open

$325 vol
Yes5.00%
Buy Yes 5.00%
No98.8%
Buy No 98.8%

Roy Cooper

polymarket · open

$70 vol
Yes4.00%
Buy Yes 4.00%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

Kamala Harris

polymarket · open

$71 vol
Yes3.00%
Buy Yes 3.00%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%

Timeline

Opened
Nov 3, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

Nevada is expected to hold a Democratic presidential primary or caucus in 2028. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most votes in the Nevada Democratic primary, caucus, or other official voting process by which the Nevada public directs the voting of delegates for the selection of the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee. If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count that determines the apportionment of statewide delegates. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2028 Nevada primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by the earliest of November 7, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or the first day of the 2028 Democratic convention, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Nevada Democratic Presidential Primary Winner 2028 | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck