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politics· POLY-1310448

South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner 2028

$853 volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

20 markets

Ted Cruz

polymarket · open

$50 vol
Yes74.0%
Buy Yes 74.0%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

Marco Rubio

polymarket · open

$0 vol
Yes74.0%
Buy Yes 74.0%
No89.0%
Buy No 89.0%

Donald Trump

polymarket · open

$50 vol
Yes69.0%
Buy Yes 69.0%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

Elon Musk

polymarket · open

$50 vol
Yes69.0%
Buy Yes 69.0%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

Tucker Carlson

polymarket · open

$0 vol
Yes69.0%
Buy Yes 69.0%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

Ron DeSantis

polymarket · open

$50 vol
Yes68.0%
Buy Yes 68.0%
No93.0%
Buy No 93.0%

Tom Cotton

polymarket · open

$50 vol
Yes68.0%
Buy Yes 68.0%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

J.D. Vance

polymarket · open

$0 vol
Yes67.0%
Buy Yes 67.0%
No89.0%
Buy No 89.0%

Brian Kemp

polymarket · open

$50 vol
Yes66.0%
Buy Yes 66.0%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

Josh Hawley

polymarket · open

$50 vol
Yes66.0%
Buy Yes 66.0%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

Ivanka Trump

polymarket · open

$50 vol
Yes65.0%
Buy Yes 65.0%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

Thomas Massie

polymarket · open

$50 vol
Yes62.0%
Buy Yes 62.0%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

Glenn Youngkin

polymarket · open

$50 vol
Yes62.0%
Buy Yes 62.0%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

Pete Hegseth

polymarket · open

$50 vol
Yes62.0%
Buy Yes 62.0%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

polymarket · open

$50 vol
Yes61.0%
Buy Yes 61.0%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

Rand Paul

polymarket · open

$50 vol
Yes61.0%
Buy Yes 61.0%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

Vivek Ramaswamy

polymarket · open

$50 vol
Yes60.0%
Buy Yes 60.0%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

Donald Trump Jr.

polymarket · open

$50 vol
Yes59.0%
Buy Yes 59.0%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

Greg Abbott

polymarket · open

$50 vol
Yes59.0%
Buy Yes 59.0%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

Marjorie Taylor Greene

polymarket · open

$53 vol
Yes54.0%
Buy Yes 54.0%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

Timeline

Opened
Nov 3, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

South Carolina is expected to hold a Republican presidential primary or caucus in 2028. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most votes in the South Carolina Republican primary, caucus, or other official voting process by which the South Carolina public directs the voting of delegates for the selection of the 2028 Republican presidential nominee. If the relevant delegate selection process is a caucus or other multi-round process, the relevant vote count will be the final round vote count that determines the apportionment of statewide delegates. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2028 South Carolina primary, caucus, or comparable process takes place, or if the results are not definitively known by the earliest of November 7, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or the first day of the 2028 Republican convention, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the complete results from the South Carolina Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary Winner 2028 | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck