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Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity

politics· POLY-1328333

Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government?

$23.9K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

21 markets

Benjamin Netanyahu

polymarket · open

$5.8K vol
Yes59.0%
Buy Yes 59.0%
No43.0%
Buy No 43.0%

No second mandate

polymarket · open

$4.5K vol
Yes43.0%
Buy Yes 43.0%
No60.0%
Buy No 60.0%

Yair Golan

polymarket · open

$751 vol
Yes2.00%
Buy Yes 2.00%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Ayelet Shaked

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Moshe Feiglin

polymarket · open

$785 vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Avigdor Lieberman

polymarket · open

$773 vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

Yossi Cohen

polymarket · open

$749 vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Itamar Ben Gvir

polymarket · open

$678 vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Yariv Levin

polymarket · open

$597 vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Gadi Eizenkot

polymarket · open

$1.0K vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Eli Cohen

polymarket · open

$804 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Benny Gantz

polymarket · open

$803 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Yoaz Hendel

polymarket · open

$785 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Gideon Sa’ar

polymarket · open

$777 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Yair Lapid

polymarket · open

$729 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Ofer Winter

polymarket · open

$687 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Israel Katz

polymarket · open

$669 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Naftali Bennett

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol
Yes0.60%
Buy Yes 0.60%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%

Nir Barkat

polymarket · open

$284 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Gilad Erdan

polymarket · open

$276 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Amir Ohana

polymarket · open

$252 vol
Yes0.10%
Buy Yes 0.10%
No100.0%
Buy No 100.0%

Timeline

Opened
Nov 7, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

Legislative elections were held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the second individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. Extensions of the first individual's mandate will not count as a second mandate. If the first individual is tasked with forming a government again, including via a petition of 61 members of the Knesset, this will not count; only a mandate given to a different individual will count as the second mandate. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no second individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No second mandate”. If the Knesset is dissolved or new elections are called before a second individual is tasked with forming a government, this market will resolve to “No second mandate”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government? | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck