$2B
polymarket · open
Yes40.0%
Buy Yes 40.0%
No62.0%
Buy No 62.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
cryptocrypto· POLY-133684
Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$901.5K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$301.9K vol
$1B
polymarket · open
Yes40.0%
Buy Yes 40.0%
No61.0%
Buy No 61.0%
$500M
polymarket · open
Yes39.0%
Buy Yes 39.0%
No62.0%
Buy No 62.0%
$4B
polymarket · open
Yes36.0%
Buy Yes 36.0%
No67.0%
Buy No 67.0%
$3B
polymarket · open
Yes34.0%
Buy Yes 34.0%
No67.0%
Buy No 67.0%
$6B
polymarket · open
Yes28.0%
Buy Yes 28.0%
No74.0%
Buy No 74.0%
$5B
polymarket · open
Yes26.0%
Buy Yes 26.0%
No75.0%
Buy No 75.0%
$12B
polymarket · open
Yes18.0%
Buy Yes 18.0%
No84.0%
Buy No 84.0%
$10B
polymarket · open
Yes18.0%
Buy Yes 18.0%
No83.0%
Buy No 83.0%
$8B
polymarket · open
Yes17.0%
Buy Yes 17.0%
No84.0%
Buy No 84.0%
Timeline
- Opened
- Dec 30, 2025
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".