↑ 1550
polymarket · open
Yes65.0%
Buy Yes 65.0%
No55.0%
Buy No 55.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
techtech· POLY-138745
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
$239.1K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$56.2K vol
↑ 1600
polymarket · open
Yes8.90%
Buy Yes 8.90%
No94.7%
Buy No 94.7%
↑ 1650
polymarket · open
Yes5.30%
Buy Yes 5.30%
No98.0%
Buy No 98.0%
↑ 1700
polymarket · open
Yes4.30%
Buy Yes 4.30%
No98.2%
Buy No 98.2%
↑ 1520
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
↑ 1500
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
↑ 1540
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
↑ 1530
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
↑ 1510
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Timeline
- Opened
- Jan 2, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".