December 31
polymarket · open
Yes10.0%
Buy Yes 10.0%
No92.0%
Buy No 92.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
politics· POLY-145985
Insurrection Act invoked by...?
$1.2M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$191.3K vol
January 31
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
March 31
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
June 30
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
April 30
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
July 31
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
September 30
polymarket · closed
Yes0.00%
Buy Yes 0.00%
No0.00%
Buy No 0.00%
Timeline
- Opened
- Jan 6, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.